Uneven Strategies Working with Different Profitabilities in Portfolio Building Part One ~ forex trading kaskus

9:24 PM in advisors, an, building, different, expert, Forex, in, money, one, part, portfolio, profitabilities, review, strategies, train, unbiased, uneven, with, working

One of the first questions I asked myself when I begun the development of portfolios within Asirikuy was : What if the profitabiliy of the trading systems used is very different ? What will happen if one system is much more profitable than the other one in the long term ? I started to wonder if the most unprofitable system would just drain out the profitability of the best one or if things would improve with time as the systems traded together. Today I will be writing the first part of a two part post which will talk about my finding around portfolio trading of uneven systems and the effect of doing these types of pair-ups in the overall draw down and profitability of a given portfolio.

In order to pair two uneven systems I needed to find two likely long term profitable systems that traded with similar frequency but which had significant differences in profitability that would become larger in the long term. The most suitable system I found was Watukushay No.2 which trades on both the EUR/USD and the GBP/USD. Although both instances are bound to be long term profitable, the EUR/USD instance achieves higher profitabilities in simulation due to the higher presence of the inefficiency exploited by Watukushay No.2 on this currency pair. By pairing up both systems I would be able to see the overall effect in long term portfolio trading allowing me to see if one system would be able to drain the other one or if - despite their differences in profitability - they would achieve a joint effort towards more profitable territory.

To make things even more interesting I decided to increase the Risk used on these tests to 5 also extending the backtests to include 2010 months up until May first. The results - shown below - let us see the big difference in profitability between the EUR/USD and GBP/USD instances of Watukushay No.2 as compounding effects become more pronounced. The contribution of the less profitable GBP/USD instance becomes less significant as time goes by and the EUR/USD instance starts to take a very important place within the portfolio. In the year 2009-2010, most of the position sizes taken are the responsability of the EUR/USD instance while the GBP/USD instance contributes about 5-10% of the trading volume. It is extremely interesting here to note that -in the long term - a portfolio setup eliminates unprofitable strategies by itself, since less account percentage is allocated as the instances fail to accurately perform, effectively protecting the account from the less perfoming strategies.
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However what happens during the whole ten year period ? What happens with the overall losing period length, maximum draw down, etc ? For the Risk 5 tests, the maximum draw down period length and the maximum draw down values for the EUR/USD instance were 658 days and 26.96% while for the GBP/USD instance they were 1026 and 59.41%. However, the portfolio achieves a wonderful effect and achieves - within the ten year period - to reduce the maximum draw down period to 433 days and the maximum draw down to 30.66% just a little bit higher than the EUR/USD instance and much lower than the GBP/USD instance.
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It is also very interesing to evaluate the yearly profits of the portfolio (shown above) which allow us to see how the EUR/USD instance takes over as times goes by. Of particular importance is the year 2002 in which Watukushay No.2 achieves its highest profit on the EUR/USD (note that high risks exaggerate these effects), leaving behind the GBP/USD instance in terms of equity gains. As time evolves even further we note how the EUR/USD instance keeps growing the account and the contribution of the GBP/USD instance becomes very small. In the end, the profitability of the GBP/USD instance achieves a minor increase in average yearly profitability for the account, from 41 to 42% showing that the addition of this instance, eventhough much less profitable did add up to draw down period reduction and increases in profitability in the long term.

Of course, there are still several questions unanswered which will be addressed on the next part, released tomorrow. For example, what happens if we decide to start to trade a portfolio like this just before the worst draw down period of the worst performing system ? Will this expose us to higher risk ? Is the long term risk indicative of the highest possible draw down even when different starting periods are taken into account ? Tomorrow I will try to answer these questions as I continue to research the depths of the world of portfolio trading and combinations of Asirikuy systems.

From todays post we can definitely conclude that the best idea is to combine trading systems with similar profit targets, however if one of the systems does start to fail it is very probable that its trading contribution will be slowly eliminated by the account growth caused by the other systems. This is very powerful in the sense that the portfolio self-manages the profitability of trading strategies and automatically rewards systems that perform better and punishes systems that perform worse.

If you would like to learn more about automated trading system development and how you too can learn to develop your own long term profitable systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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Staying Single How to Avoid Falling in Love with Trades ~ forex trading income

8:11 PM in a, avoid, falling, five, Forex, how, in, love, not, reasons, single, staying, system, to, trades, trading, use, with

When we embark ourselves in the incredible adventure that is trading, we quickly find that the worst obstacle to achieve our goals is nothing but ourselves. In all the years I have been trading I could tell you that most of the problems I have had have been caused by my own actions which have been a consequence of my - sometimes - irrational thinking. One of the worst ways in which I affected my own trading in the beginning was what I would call my "love affairs" with trades. When we start to trade we tend to make every position we enter too important because in the beginning we all generally lack focus and perspective regarding trading as a business. On todays post I will talk about this great problem I had when I started trading and I will share with you some of the things I did to "stay single" and avoid this disastrous experiences with my trades.

It was a sunny afternoon several years ago when I decided that everything was set. The stars had aligned, my setup had come true and I finally had a perfect EUR/JPY trade ready for entry. I entered the trade, entered my stop loss and take profit levels and waited for a few hundred dollars to go into my account. However, the market decided that the odds were against me and I was facing a position very close to my stoploss in a few hours. Then I remember that the EUR/JPY had done this to me before and I exit my trade only to find out I would have hit my TP after a few hours. My decision -based on this irrational thinking - was to give my trade "more room", I moved my stoploss to allow the trade to continue. Then it moved even MORE against me and it wiped my trade. I ended up losing almost 4 times what I had initially planed to lose and the position never bounced back to the level I had set as a TP.
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This is only one of the several examples of times in which I fell in love with a trade and refused to let it go. The consequence was not only a significant financial loss in my account but a feeling made up of frustration and anger that had a snow ball effect that made me revenge trade the market and end up at an even worse point. When you trade like this you are operating your business like a 5 year old, good things - profitable trades - make you very happy and euphoric while bad things - losing trades - make you absolutely frustrated and angry. It certainly took me a few months but I finally realized that this was a recipe for total disaster.

To change this is no easy thing because the present - the trade on your screen - has an inevitable effect on you psychologically. It is extremely difficult to stay calm and trade your system like you were meant to trade it, to avoid intervention and to avoid feeling like a winner or loser based on some limited trading results. This was the most difficult thing I had to do to become a profitable trader to remove these emotions and become immune to the short term emotional effects trades had on me.

How did I do it (and continue to do it!) ? What worked for me was simply to change my perspective from a short term look to a long term look. I realized that trading wasnt working for me because I was too focused on short term results (turning a profitable trade today) rather than on long term results (obtaining a good average yearly return). My strategies and trading didnt have any long term focus and this was the reason why I wasnt getting anywhere. I decided that if this was going to work for me I needed to have long term targets and I needed to know exactly how my systems would perform in the long term. How long and deep their draw down periods were, how many losing trades I could be expecting, etc.

The change here was from night to day. When I started to have a long term outlook on trading as a business and I had a clear perspective on the way my systems worked, understanding why they were going to be most likely successful in the long term and when exactly I needed to stop trading them if they werent was a blessing to my trading career. Losing trades just became a characteristic of my systems and intervention became a clear thing to avoid since it was obviously detrimental to my systems results. I became a very cold-minded trader and I have successfully managed to avoid "falling in love" with my trades.

To me a trade right now is simply a very small part of what constitutes my long term goals and therefore it simply makes no sense to get happy or sad about the outcome of any single one of them. Certainly if you are a new trader my advice for you is simple, write down a plan that is extremely clear and that has all the detailed characteristics of your trading system laid out (draw down periods, expected loses, expected profits, etc). Know exactly what you are getting into and gain a LONG term perspective into your trading. Treat your trading like a business with long term goals and you will gain an amazing level of control and discipline that will put you on your way to become a profitable trader.

If you would like to learn more about automated trading and how you can use automated trading systems to improve your trading abilities please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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HLO2 with Automatic Robot Trading System ~ forex trading strategies

7:47 PM in 2, automatic, Forex, hlo2, idicators, part, robot, system, trading, with, without

A new trading system launched. That is HLO2 with Automatic Robot Trading System:

You will have the opportunity to buy at low prices and sell at the highest price. The intelligence multi time frame candle strategy , overbought/oversold that was confirmed by trend market direction and it works together with trade area channel Indicator.

See how it works here.

Who can trade with the system?

Newbie: I already saved as a chart profile including template and setting. So what have to do is only to place files in the right folder and load the profile. Done. More questions,read a manual or you can contact us.

Professional Trader: There are several options provided on the indicators and EA. You can explore your own experiences with new setting and see the results. Trailing Stop, Lot size, Money management, nPips Open, nPips Close, Take profit, Stop Loss and more.

HL02 EURAUD automatic robot trading system:

Let your money work for you with " HL02 with Automatic Robot Trading System "


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Whats it like to spend a day with Richard Jaycobs President of Cantor Exchange ~ forex trading new york

3:54 AM in a, autotrader, cantor, day, exchange, for, forex, it, jaycobs, like, new, of, president, richard, spend, to, whats, with

Yesterday, I had a great day! My local traders meetup group was having a little meeting at my house and we had a fantastic guest speaker. Richard Jaycobs, president of Cantor Exchange and one of the veterans of the markets spent all day with me and stayed over to talk with traders from all over the Knoxville Tennessee area. Here is how it all went down...

First of all, Richard has an extensive history with the markets. He worked along side Paul Tudor Jones, one of the wall street legends. He founded the first internet based futures exchanges. He worked for the New York Cotton exchange and was a managing director at Finex, among other things. He is currently the president of Cantor Exchange, a wholly owned subsidiary of the financial services firm, Cantor Fitgerald.

Here is a picture of Richard, myself, and my son in his underwear.

One of the things I was most impressed with was the generosity of Cantor Exchange. They are out to work with all kinds of trading related businesses. When a trading exchange sends the president to your house to ask YOU how they can serve you, then this is an amazing thing.  So why did he come to my house?

I had recently met Richard and Rod Drown (managing director at Cantor Exchange) at a traders conference. I approached Rod and the very first words that came out of my mouth were, " If you can do what you say you can do, then I can bring 1,000 traders your way." Now at the time, I had no clue how fast the Cantor Exchange brand would spread through word of mouth alone but I was bound and determined to find out more.

So I started messing with trades on the exchange and researching and found out that these guys are sitting on a goldmine of awesomeness for the retail trader. Some of the ways you can trade on the exchange just blew me away! I was hooked, as are many other traders so I sat down and wrote out a 40+ page document on my thoughts about the exchange and how I saw it from an outsider. Yep, forty flipping pages! Click and away it went to the execs at CX. (By the way CX stands for Cantor Exchange).

So long story short, I had a series of talks with Rod and he asked me if it was ok if Richard Jaycobs flew down to see me for the day. I politely said, " Of course it is ok. I would be happy to talk with him." Inside, I was like a kid in a candy store because I actually caught the attention of someone that wanted to hear my ideas.

So the day came. (Actually that day was yesterday July 13, 2015). Richard arrived promptly on time and we sat at my kitchen table and talked back and forth for 5 straight hours. We went through my ideas list one by one. If I thought something at the exchange was bunk, I let him know. If he thought one of my ideas was garbage, he let me know. We disagreed on a few things and agreed on a whole lot of things.

When we were tired from sitting, we would walk into my trading office and look at charts. I had told him about designing an indicator for trading on the exchange and he wanted to see it. We took a couple of short breaks and then went right back at it. Idea after idea. Line by line. Taking notes and crossing things off. I even got to interview Richard for a Youtube special coming up soon.

One of the most amazing things is the fact that Cantor Exchange wants to work with traders. They are not stuck up and have their nose in the clouds like several other exchanges. I remember calling and emailing a competitor exchange about an idea I had that would have been great and never once received a reply of any sort. Point Blank, Cantor Exchange is willing to talk with the little man.

So anyway, getting back to my story... after hours and hours of talking, the doorbell rang. Lo and behold, it was a member of one of my facebook groups. This guy, Steve Cole AKA Ole Dude as decribed by his high school students, is just about as country as they come. His accent is about as thick as molassas on a winter night. Now Steve was interested in the exchange and Richard talked right along with him and took his ideas as well... By the way, I just found out that Steve is now a Cantor Exchange trader, as of today. I assume he liked what he heard last night.

The doorbell rang again and here they came one after another, trader after trader filled my house with smiles and laughs. Not one of them had on a suit and tie... This is Tennessee by the way.

Then the vittles were on the table and everybody had plate. Boy, was it good. The smell of the food filled the house until after I lit the burners to keep the food warm and the house started to smell like a gas factory for a few minutes. We had pork BBQ, Rotisserie chicken, Mashed taters, Brown beans, Corn salad, Green bean casarole, Cheesecake bites, fudge, Cornbread muffins, and rolls. This was a feast for an old southern boy such as myself.

As all the traders were eating and sitting wherever they could find a spot, the speaking part came and I stood up and tried to talk but everyone was so engaged in their conversations that no one even heard what I was saying Haha! So I gave them a few more minutes to chow down and then I, along with Richard attempted to explain the basics of the exchange and answer questions, mostly coming from Troy.

Now Troy is a friend of mine that works for Ninjacators so obviously he overtook the entire line of questioning almost and started firing off. One right after another the questions came. I answered a few but Richard answered most of them. Now Troy was creating some pretty powerful questions that would have made me feel a bit humbled but Richard just fired back the answer as easy as you could think and answered each and every question that was asked.

Look at the picture above. Richard is showing everyone how to play an air guitar. Just kidding, he is actually answering questions.

All in all, here is the deal. The Cantor Exchange has plans so great that I am so excited to be a part of it all. They want to create a trading experience that is the absolute best possible. They want to allow everyone access to the exchange in ways that are so simple that anyone would understand. They want to create products that traders want. Best of all, they want to hear ideas from you. If you have an idea that would make the exchange a better place to trade, let them know.

For more information about Cantor Exchange, or if you would like to get updates and talk with others about the exchange, please visit facebook.com/groups/cantorexchange or if you would like to sign up for a trading account, visit forestparkbx.com . Forest Park BX is a referring partner to the exchange, can get you set up with an account and answer questions along the way.

So whats all the fuss about? What makes Cantor Exchange so awesome?? You just stay tuned, join the facebook group and watch this thing unfold. You will be blown away soon! Below is a small sample of things to come...

1. Write your own binary options contracts at ANY strike you want
2. No minimum deposit
3.  All contracts are only $1 allowing smaller traders to participate in the market

Now many of the most awesome things, I can not mention at this time but you just wait!


(c) 2015 Ryan Herron of Joaquintrading.com
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Playing with Bollinger Bands A Likely Long Term Profitable Strategy ~ forex trading jobs in banks

1:17 PM in a, bands, bollinger, facebook, feel, Forex, free, fxreviews, group, join, likely, long, playing, profitable, strategy, term, to, with

Last week I wrote a post about the Bollinger Bands indicator and how I thought it could be exploited to achieve good profitability levels in forex trading. After doing a full analysis going through a visual 5-6 year backtest, a mathematical expectancy analysis and the final coding and testing of the strategy I can tell you that I have come up with a likely long term profitable system based exclusively on Bollinger Bands. Asirikuy members would definitely want to checkout last weeks video in which I explain the whole development process in detail showing you all the steps necessary to go from an idea to an actual, coded expert with great possibilities of long term success. On todays post I want to give my regular readers a look into this strategy and the results it finally achieves.

My first idea for coding this Bollinger Band system was taken from the thoughts I had a week ago regarding this strategy. I based the making of this strategy in the fact that when a bar closes above a certain number of volatility adjusted steps outside 2 standard deviations an important "signal" is given that predicts long term movements in that direction to a good extent. As I pointed last week, this strategy also signals a retracement in conjunction with the trend following aspect but definitely I wanted to explore the trend following aspects of the strategy first.

The mathematical expectancy analysis of this strategy wasnt disappointing at all with positive results for almost all period perspectives on the one hour charts. However - interestingly enough - long periods of time revealed a great characteristic of this system which is the predictive power over a singificantly long amount of time with almost no moves into unprofitable territory. This means that the strategy would definitely lend itself to the making of a system that could use an extremely favorable risk to reward ratio. Designing my systems money management around the conclusions of the mathematical expectancy analysis results I came up with a strategy that held a risk to reward ratio of exactly 1 : 4 meaning that the system can take four loses for each winning trade. For me this is quite unprecedented sine most strategies I coded have a risk to reward ratio oscillating from 2 : 1 to 1 : 3 but I had never been able to achieve such a high expectancy for winning trades with success. The results I achieved for a 10 year backtest (2000-2010) on the EUR/USD one hour chart are shown below.
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I have to say that I was very impressed to see that such a simple strategy with absolutely no internal closing criteria besides the TP and SL could achieve such an incredible performance. This strategy definitely shows that it is not complexity what determines the success of a trading strategy but true understanding of the underlying price action. Once you have some idea of how the market behaves and how indicators can be used to exploit an inefficiency a likely long term profitable system from a very simple set of logic can arise. It is important here to say that the above shown results are unoptimized and simply the variable settngs are the result of the mathematical expectancy analysis (for those who are wondering, yes, I tried a trailing stop but a solid TP works much better)

Simulations of this system are also bound to be quite accurate since the average value of the TP is well above 200 pips, meaning that this EA has an incredibly large take profit value that could not be faked by any type of simulation interference. Moreover, the EA only enters trades based on last bars close and therefore explicitely controls bar opening, something that is bound to make trading systems more reliable and back/live testing consistent. Of course, we would need to test this expert to find out but I believe that this system can be improved a lot more before actually releasing it as a Watukushay EA. It is however important to say that GREAT part of this straegys success is based on its volatility adjusted money management that allows it to adjust to changes in market conditions. Using a fixed SL or TP leads to incredible loses showing how adaptive money management is VITAL to achieve profitability.
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As you see on the above image, the success of the strategy is based in the fact that trades are taken almost always after a successful bollinger band breakout. However the fact that we are not focusing on the actual contraction/expansion of the bands but on the statistical meaning of a highly deviated price result makes us enter only meaningful breakouts while others that might have been entered on a contraction/expansion criteria (which is also hard to define) are avoided. The strategy does take a lot of loses (strategies with high reward to risk ratios are often very hard to trade psychologically because of this) however the great thing is that losing trades become evident after only a small move against us, allowing us to preserve the great 1:4 risk to reward ratio.

Currently I have created a forum post within the asirikuy community forum so that we can start improving this strategy and making it become a solid Asirikuy contribution. Of course, the system lacks any internal closing criteria and coming up with relevant ways to improve the systems closing of positions should be vital if this system is to be released for use in the future. If you would like to learn more about automated trading and how you too can come up with and design systems with long term profitability in mind please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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Forex trading strategy with USD JPY medium term ~ forex trading benefits

11:01 AM in 1, 30, Forex, jpy, medium, strategy, term, trading, usd, usdjpy, with

USD/JPY: Forex trading strategy medium term,  release date February 6,2014
Buy now at 101.46
Stop loss: 100.85
Take Profit: 102.35

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Old Forex System that Still Work ~ forex trading hours

11:36 PM in automatic, Forex, hlo2, robot, system, trading, with

This is my old Forex System but it still works !


Hi pal,

Do you tired looking for the forex strategy that can make money continuosly ?, if you do , great you’re at the right place.
You can call me Prasxz , actually I’m a programmer who interested in FOREX technical analysis, after I loss amount of money in this business , I start to asking into my self , why every I enter the market , its always against me ?, is there any proven system outhere that can avoid me being loss?

This system is FREE OF CHARGE.

For example :

You’re trading GBP for 10 times , how many times you loose your trade ? and how many times you’ve got your profit ?
If the answer is 8 wins and 2 losses, then you’re at the right system that match your style , next question is , can you keep your system working in the next 20,40,60,80,... trading round ?
If the answer is yes, please stop reading this strategy and keep your system on your side..
If no, may be I can help you here..


I will give you a simple trading system that has proven gave me minimum 20 pips/day ..not bad isn’t it ? and I still use this system as you see this blog.
Let’s see below MetaTrader 4 picture for 15 m GBP chart.




I used only 2 indicators :

- 2 Bollinger Band with parameter :
Period : 20 Deviations :1 Apply to :Close
Period : 20 Deviations: 2 Apply to: Close
This 2 Bollinger Band divide the area into 5 lines

- Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reverse) with parameter :
Step : 0.01 Maximum: 0.2


Bollinger Band

These 2 Bollinger Band can tell you, where the market will go on the next stage.

If the bar from below touched the line V it means please be prepared for the reversal into line IV. (In case there’s no bullish signal from higher time frame)

If the bar from above crossed the line IV it means please be prepared for the bar touched the line III.

If the bar from above crossed the line III it means please be prepared for the bar touched the line II.

If the bar from above crossed the line II it means please be prepared for the bar touched the line I.

If the bar from above touched/crossed the line I it means please be prepared for the reversal into line II.(In case there’s no bearish signal from higher time frame).

There are the possibilities for the market move on 2 Bollinger Band stage, you can examine this indicators to make sure or perhaps backtesting and forwardtesting on Meta Trader 4.

Parabolic SAR




Use this indicators to determine the entry point and trailling stop.
PSAR strategy is BUY when the PSAR dot appears below the bar and SELL when the PSAR dot appears above the bar.

When the right time for me to BUY/SELL ?
Where I placed my stop loss ?

You should take BUY position when the FIRST PSAR dot appears below the bar and take SELL position when the FIRST PSAR dot appears above the bar.
Term of FIRST here is very important because this is a good chance for you to take a maximum pips, close your position when you gain 10 – 30 pips or more perhaps depend on market situation.

Place a STOP LOSS at the first PSAR dot when you already enter the market and trail it into next PSAR dot.







How many pips I should place my stop loss ?

It depend on your style, if you willing to place stop loss for 20 – 40 pips you should use 15 minute chart to gain profit between 10 – 30 pips or more , use the higher time frame if you want to gain bigger profit and of course your stop loss pips will be increased...you can try it because this system works in all time frame, depend on your style and equity.

I’m convenience using 15 m chart because the smaller stop loss pips and it doesn’t take too many time to gain 10 – 30 pips / day.


STRATEGY

BUY whenever FIRST PSAR dot appears and the bar lies above line I or above line II , target is next line.

SELL whenever FIRST PSAR dot appears and the bar lies below line V or below line IV , target is next line.

You can take position in all line depend on market situation , the most important is you must action when the FIRST PSAR dot appears.


Use this system consistently, if you loose your trade, you must switch position in the next FIRST PSAR dot .

OK that’s it , cut your losses and let your profit run...

PS : I don’t have experience using C language ..if there’s somebody would like to make EA (Expert Advisor) in MT4 base on this system ,you can share with me.






Case I :
hi all,
Ill show you about signal generated by the system, remember if the first PSAR appears and the price is at line V just wait until the price move back to line IV,III,II or I as long as the bar not touched the signalthen take position like below picture..



Case II

If you found ranging market or sideway trend like below picture ,you should wait and see till
long bottleneck end . Distance between line V and line I usually no more than 30 pips .


Below picture is sample of my balance sheet statement using this system...

This is proven FOREX trading system with the result minimum 20 pips / day

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Trading Interviews with Ryan Herron of Joaquin Trading ~ forex trading now

9:46 PM in a, and, binary, bucket, Forex, frank, herron, industry, interviews, joaquin, of, on, options, ryan, shop, short, story, the, trading, with

Here is an updated list of interviews I have been involved with...

Binaryology took some time to chat with me recently. http://www.binaryology.com/blog/the-psychology-of-trading-with-ryan-herron

I interviewed Richard Jaycobs, President of Cantor Exchange
https://youtu.be/ZFA7AA0_JuEI interviewed Justin Hertzberg from Forest Park BX about Cantor Exchange recently.
https://youtu.be/dm65PaK6SZM



http://traderspodcast.com/episode404/ How to trade Binary Options

http://traderspodcast.com/episode402/ Getting to know Rob part 2

http://traderspodcast.com/episode398/ Getting to know Rob part 1

http://traderspodcast.com/episode188/ The Indiana Jones of Currency Trading

http://traderspodcast.com/episode145/ The guy who lived out of a van and traded


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What is Forex Trading ~ forex trading mobile app

6:30 AM in a, cantor, day, exchange, forex, is, it, jaycobs, like, of, president, richard, spend, to, trading, what, whats, with

What is Forex Trading ?

Forex Trading Introduction

Forex (Forex) is an acronym for foreign currency exchange.

Forex Trading (Forex Trading) refers to purchases and sales of currencies or currency trade.
Forex currency trading market, refers to the global market.
The trade in this market is the currency of different countries.
Forex trading via the Internet in the modern era is even.
How to Sell on the Internet is krydu currency.
To know in detail about this study, please visit our web site.

?????? (Forex) ???? ????? ???????? ?? ???? ???

?????? ?????? (Forex Trading) ?? ???? ????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ????? ???

??? ?????? ?????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ?????? ???

?? ?????? ??? ????? ????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ???? ???

?? ?? ???? ??? ??? ?????? ?????? ??????? ?? ????? ?? ??? ???? ??? 

??????? ?? ????? ?? ????? ????? ???? ?? ???? ?? ?

?? ???? ??? ????? ?? ???? ????? ?? ??? ????? ??? ???? ?? ?????? ???????

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Forex trading strategy GBP USD February 10 (updated) ~ forex trading brokers usa

9:57 AM in 10, february, Forex, gbp, jpy, medium, strategy, term, trading, usd, with

Forex trading strategy GBP/USD February 10,2014. Orders should last 2 days.
Buy limit : 1.6385 - 1.6395
Stop loss: 1.6335
Take Profit : 1.6475
Video analysis : http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=fO_7BrVVwDc&feature=youtu.be

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Some Trading Advice Trade What you See ~ forex trading kuwait

7:57 AM in advice, building, different, Forex, in, part, portfolio, profitabilities, see, some, strategies, trade, trading, two, uneven, what, with, working, you

It is incredible to see how many traders out there start calling different future price levels and saying that a certain currency pair will fall or rise in the long term and how another will not, etc. One of the first things that new forex traders are tempted to do is to issue forecasts of future price movements of currencies and act accordingly. On todays post I want to write about this practice and how the forecasting of currency pairs should be avoided if you wish to become successful in currency trading. Particularly I want to pinpoint the dangers and flaws of fundamental forecasting and how trading based entirely on price action - with the application of some sound trading principles - is in my mind the best way to achieve success either in manual trading or in the design of automated trading systems.

First of all, it is good to know what I refer to as forecasting. When a person says "The EUR/USD will be 1.60 in 2 years", that is what I call forecasting, an attempt to predict the future based on some evidence that holds no predictive power over such a wide range of possible outcomes. Predicting economic cycles, wide movements, bottoms, tops and similar unpredictable market outcomes are some of the fundamental reasons why new traders fail.

It is easy to understand why so many people fall victim to forecasting. We like to be right and forecasting a given price level that in the long term becomes true is very satisfying. For example, if you said in December 2009 that the EUR/USD would reach 1.3 next year, you would have made a very accurate forecast of what would have happened in the future. However there was no substantial evidence to guide you towards this conclusion and hitting the nail on the head with your prediction might have been a simple lucky guess. Of course, I can say that next year the EUR/USD will reach 1 or 1.5 and probably I would be right about one those forecasts due to the yearly volatility of this forex currency pair.

However what we have to understand here is that we cannot come up with conclusions outside of what is being showed by a certain currency pairs price action. I saw many people talking about the EUR/USD reaching a bottom around 1.32-33 when in fact there was no evidence to believe this to be true. Of course, in the end the people who make money are the people who play the market by two extremely simple principles. Take into account support and resistance levels and follow the trend.

Why would you be willing to go against a trend that is so crystal clear on the charts ? There is a reason why trends develop and taking trades against long term trends is suicidal most of the time. Reversals are quite rare and they take long periods of time to develop and for this reason they are not a good strategy to trade, it is much better to wait until a reversal happens and a new trend develops than attempting to enter the "beginning" of a new trend by guessing a reversal is in place. When you watch support and resistance levels not only are you able to accurately gauge the probabilities of price movements but you are also able to get into very good spots for long term trend following.

What you need to understand here as a trader is that you should read the information the market tells you and make an educated guess regarding price movement based on the simple assumption that trends will most of the time continue and support and resistance levels will shape price action. It is a matter of interpreting what the market is telling you and forming a high probability outcome based on these two simple market principles.

So in the future you should not try to forecast the price level of a currency in a few years or attempt to "call" the bottom or top of the current trend. You should focus on following price action relative to support and resistance levels and following trends, entering them on favorable positions based on your first analysis. Trading what you see on the charts instead of what you hear on the news or what you think will happen in the future is vital in order for you to achieve long term success in forex trading. Of course, the above technique is what has worked for me but other ways of analyzing price action and coming up with good probability reading may obviously be possible. Just remember : do not attempt to forecast, just follow your charts.

If you would like to learn how you can develop your own long term profitable strategies using forex automated trading please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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Uneven Strategies Working with Different Profitabilities in Portfolio Building Part Two ~ forex trading keywords

10:50 PM in advisors, an, building, different, expert, forex, in, part, portfolio, pro, profitabilities, review, robot, strategies, two, unbiased, uneven, with, working

Yesterday I started to discuss the effect of running a portfolio with systems that have very uneven performance. I used the GBP/USD and EUR/USD instances to exemplify this case and show you exactly what the effect of running systems with very different profitabilities is along a very wide range of years. However once post was not enough to discuss all the effects of running such uneven strategies and several questions still remained. On todays post I will finish my discussion on this matter, answering the remaining matters as clearly as I can. I will attempt to discuss the effect of different starting times in running a portfolio and how this affects the global profitability and risk/draw down targets of a portfolio built upon the join venture of uneven strategies.

On part one of this post I was able to show you how running a portfolio of two long term profitable systems has an overall profitable effect regardless of the global differences in profitability. I showed you how the GBP/USD and EUR/USD instances contributed somewhat equal profit/draw down percentage in the beginning of the account and how the contributing power of the GBP/USD instance grew smaller as trading progressed. Of course, this means that the portfolio starting time may prove decisive as different startup periods may lend themselves to different contributions of the separate systems. Some very important questions start to come out as a consequence of this matter. Will the account face higher risk targets if the account is started right before the worst draw down of the worst performing strategy ? Will long term draw down targets be an underestimation of the potential draw down ?

In order to answer these questions I looked at an account started right before a very significant draw down period of the GBP/USD instance which started in mid 2009. I ran a test from January 2009 until May 2010 and compared the results obtained for the 10 year portfolio for these same months. The first thing we can take into account is the draw down figures of both tests. The maximum draw down in 2009 of the 10 year test was near 9% while the maximum draw down for the test from 2009 to 2010 is 28%. It is however worth noting that this 28% is inline with the maximum historical draw down of the 10 year portfolio which is 30%. Looking at the equity curves of both systems displaying percentage gains and looking at monthly performance gives us a better idea of what is going on.
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As you can see, the 10 year portfolio has already diminished the participation of the GBP/USD instance significantly while the 1 year and a half test still has both experts contributing roughly the same since they havent had a chance to compound profits significantly. The result is that the strong draw down period on the GBP/USD eliminates a lot of the profit of the EUR/USD instance but the profit made by the later is enough to hedge the loses made by the GBP/USD account and put the overall portfolio in a profitable point.

I have to say that a careful analysis of similar periods - in which an account is started right before the worst draw down case of the worst performing instance - reveals that this is exactly when the maximum draw down portfolio levels are reached. In this case, a level of about 28% was reached which is close to the expected maximum historical draw down of the ten year portfolio (starting in 2000) at 30%. Running different initial periods were the account is started right before a GBP/USD instance unfavorable period shows us that draw down between 20-30% show almost all the time. However, the EUR/USD instance is always able to hedge this draw down and get the account to the other side.

As we saw on part number one of this article, the overall larger compounding effect of the EUR/USD instance ends up eliminating most contributions of the GBP/USD instance as it fails to perform up to the same level. Interestingly, this shows that the startup point does not increase risk but the 10 year maximum draw down appears to be the draw down combinatorial "upper-limit" that determines the draw down attained when experts are started within an unfavorable period. The 10 year estimation therefore becomes a valid estimate of future draw down limits and doubling it provides and accurate worst-case scenario.

In the case of systems with very different performance levels, the use of a continuous portfolio in which the most profitable systems take lead seems to be a good solution. However it is still easy to wonder if there is any other better way. Is there a better way when systems have similar profit levels ? Is there a way of examining portfolios in which we can be absolutely sure that the importance of the startup point is not critical ? How can we trade a portfolio in such a way that a very clear draw down limit is attained ? Answering all these questions and studying portfolios in depth has led me to the development of a series of portfolio guidelines and investment rules that I will talk about on tomorrows post and that will be discussed in depth this Sunday on an Asirikuy video... Stay tuned for the release of the Atinalla project.

If you would like to learn more about my journey in automated trading and how you too can develop a portfolio of likely long term profitable systems based on sound trading tactics please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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Just a live chart ~ forex trading nigeria

9:49 PM in a, chart, Forex, herron, interviews, joaquin, just, live, of, ryan, trading, with

forex trading nigeria

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