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Showing posts with label our. Show all posts

Wednesday, May 4, 2016

Abbreviations for our signals and a few guidelines ~ forex trading on td ameritrade

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Here is a list of abbreviations we use in our signals and what they mean. I will try to fit the actual words in the text but I often abbreviate due to limited space.

WS30 = Wall ST. 30

USSC2000 = U.S. Small Cap 2000

TP = Take Profit. This is the area that you want to close your trade at a profit.

SL = Stop Loss. This is the area you want to close your trade at a loss.

WO = Working Order. If we send our a price level to buy or sell at and it is not where the market currently is, Nadex will place this trade in a working order window to fill at a later time.

BS = Bull Spread Trade

BO = Binary Option Trade

B/E =  Break Even

@ = "At" a certain price

Also, Below are a few guide lines to remember:

If we set a TP @ 16540 and price is at 16535, you do not have to message me to ask if it is ok to take your profits now. If you want to take your profits, go ahead but I will let you know when I am taking mine.

Please do not message me to ask me what I think the market will do. I dont know what the market will do. I never have and never will.

If I send out a signals such as this... BUY WS30 16500-16900@16510 and the market currently is at 16505, then YES YOU CAN BUY IT AT 16505 because it is a cheaper price. Anything between there we say buy it and the floor/ceiling is an ok price to buy or sell.

So anywhere between 16510 and 16500 would be an ok area to buy

If i say to sell the 16500-16100@ 16480 and price is currently at 16490, then sell it because you got 10 points of a better price than we did.

The exception to this rule is that it must be within a few minutes of when we send the signal. You can not wait around all day and do it because it will not work then.

Alrighty, thats it. You have a great day!!
forex trading on td ameritrade

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Monday, May 2, 2016

Weekly Nadex Market recap 8 8 14 ~ forex trading on the weekend

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We had another profitable week. If a trader took every signal as posted, below are the results

Monday +21
Tuesday +20
Wednesday +11
Thursday -15
Friday (No Trades)

We took a DEMO trade on Thursday evening that carried over into Friday. As of right now, that trade is at a floating loss of -29. It has fluctiated between +20 and -35 for the past 16 hours now and I suspect it will expire about -15 or so.

Had we taken that trade live, our weekly P/L would be (with the current -29 trade) around +8, which is what I would consider a slightly better than break even week.

Since we are discounting the demo trade, our week will end at +37.

I have talked about this before but +37 may not sound like a lot but it all depends on the amount of contracts you are trading.

$37 on a $1,000 account is still a great return. 3.7% for the week.

Trading 10 contracts, this is $370. On a $10,000 account, this is a 3.7% return for the week or 192% per year. Compound interest is a grand thing if you use it right.

To my Clients:

I have had conversations with people this week and want to relay my thoughts to you about an issue. Many, many future clients all told me the same thing which is this, " You signals only trade 1-3 times per day. I cant make any money that way." I am sorry but they dont know what they dont know....yet.

Trading is a long term business model. It can compound your account into unbelievable amounts in a relatively short amount of time, over months and years. It can also be a great source of extra income. Treat this like a business and not a hobby and your account will stop taking giant hits. If you are unsure about something, DEMO trade it until you are sure. The market will be here tomorrow and the next day and 100 years from now (in some form) so just relax and stop trying to push trades through in the hopes to make more and more. Sit back and think to yourselves, "Are these signals, if taken correctly, making a profit?" If the answer is yes, then relax, be patient, enjoy the ride, and take a look at the tab above, entitled "compound interest".

Clients, you are all great and have had some awesome feedback this week from you. I am listening and if all goes well, next week I will be offering the bull spreads and also will be offering a lot more binary trades throughout the day.

Have a great weekend!!!




forex trading on the weekend

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Monday, April 18, 2016

Win Loss Statistics of our Spread Indicator ~ forex trading network marketing

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Hit 10 pips profit 75% of the time within 2 hours... often leading to hundreds of pips...

We have an indicator in development for the use of bull spreads in Nadex, for forex trades, and also for binary options Nadex trades. Below are the testing and results. First, I will post pictures of the indicator in action in the live market. The arrows did not repaint in any form. What you see is how they came in the live market.

A member of our group supplied all the information here. I am just recompiling it for you in an easy to read format. This is not my work but rather the awesome and inspiring work of our member, Nick. One of the great things about Joaquin Trading is the fact that we all work together for the good of the group as a whole! We all share ideas with each other and it is fantastic.

So below are a few charts of the indicator in action. The red arrows signify buying opportunities and the red arrows signify selling opportunities. We will try to capture 20 pips of profit on half of the position and then move our stop loss to break even to let the other half ride for larger moves.

To see a larger picture of a chart, just click it. To see the actual excel profit/loss statistics, scroll to the bottom and to see it in google sheets, just click on the link at the bottom.

If this is something you are interested in using for your own trading, just CLICK HERE!












All of these signals were using a setting on the indicator that looks at the trends in the market from 5 minute, 15 minute, 30 minute,and 1 hour time frames.

========================================================================

What I will post below are the actual emails from Nick and I will also include a spreadsheet he made available with statistics detailed from each day of testing. Here come the emails...

========================================================================

Hi Ryan,

I wanted to let you know how I am testing your Bull Spread Indicator, and I want to get your opinion to determine if my strategy is any good or not.

I know you haven’t really come up with any rules for this indicator, so I came up with some rules of my own for testing.

I am testing making money 3 different ways:

1) to get 10 pips profit
2) to get 20 pips profit
3) to make an ATM Binary Options trade

The rules I am using are:

1) Take 2 bull spread contracts when the trend arrow appears
2) Take a BO ATM contract at the same time (1 hour options >> if the signal comes out between 9:00 and 9:45, take 10:00 Expire/after 9:45 take 11:00 exp)
3) Close out one of the bull spread contracts when it makes 10 pips
4) Close out the second bull spread contract when it reaches 20 pips
5) Close out either bull spread contract when it either reaches -20 pips or hits the 2 hour mark

One thing I am also doing different than you, is that I might take an additional set of trades if I get a new set of arrows in the same direction (if I have already closed out a previous set of trades).  For example, I get a trend arrow at 10:00 AM and it makes me 10 pips at 10:10 and 20 pips at 10:25.  At 10:40, I get a new trend arrow in the same direction, so I start the process all over again. (This is outside of what you would do, so it’s probably more risky.)

SO I back tested this strategy for the week of April 20-24.  It did excellent on the historical test.

These are the results of that test:

10 pip trades - 117 wins/7 losses 94%  (1120.00 profit)
20 pip trades - 91 wins/33 losses 73%  (1712.00 profit)
BO trades - 104 wins/20 losses 84%  (4200.00 profit)

Total winning $ (not taking into account spreads and commissions) = 7032.00

This week I started my charts running on Sunday have not refreshed or reloaded my charts at all.  Here are my results after 4 days this week:

10 pip trades - 113 wins/34 losses 77%  (694.00 profit)
20 pip trades - 89 wins/59 losses 60%  (1164.00 profit)
BO trades - 85 wins/64 losses 57%  (1050.00 profit)

Total winning $ (not taking into account spreads and commissions) = 2908.00

Obviously, taking spreads and commissions into account, the total winning $ would probably drop by 10-20%.

The first week of testing was almost “too good to be true”. I feel that the results from this week are more realistic.

Also, please be aware that the “losses” are not all unprofitable.  If a bull spread hit the 2 hour mark and did not make 10 pips (but made 7), I would classify that trade as a loss, even though it actually made a little money.

As you always ask, is this a winning system?  From what I have looked at so far, the answer is YES.  

One thing I have noticed, is that the indicator spits out almost all of the trades between 12AM and 12PM.  The arrows that pop up between 12PM and 12AM usually dont work as well (though I did not exclude them from my test).  The arrows also work the best when there is movement in the market.  The market didn’t move much on Monday May 4, so the profits were very small that day.

In my testing (9 days) there wasn’t a losing day.  And this week, each of the 3 types of trades did not have a losing day.  So if you only took 10 pip win trades, you would have been profitable every day (and the same was true for the other 2 types of trades).

So this is why I am excited about this new indicator.  I have been interested in bull spreads for a long time, because I just hate risking 80.00 to win 20.00 on Binary Options.  If the market spikes on you just once in 5 trades, you end up trading all day for nothing.  I have done OK with the trend arrows and V5, but I want to trade with less risk involved.


Thanks,

Nick ******

=========================================================================

Hi Ryan,

I did my study on all 8 currency pairs that have Nadex Bull Spreads, using the 1M charts.  I did not actually make any trades (demo or real), but tracked all of the results on paper.

I will send you the screenshots here shortly. (which are posted above)

Thanks for taking the time to read my e-mail. Hopefully I was able to help you understand how I was testing.  The rules I kind of “made up” from rules that you had used in other strategies.

It all looks good on paper….but will it work in actual trading?  That’s what I intend on finding out next week.  

Thanks again, and I’ll talk to you tomorrow.

Nick

=========================================================================

(THE FOLLOWING WAS 4 HOURS WORTH OF TRADING)

Ryan,

I need to go to bed since I have to get up at 2AM, but I just needed to send you one more email on how the indicator did tonight.

1) EU

Signal @ 18:43  -20 pips at the 89 minute mark

-20.00 x 2
-50.00 on Binary

Total Loss = 90.00

Signal @ 22:22

10 pips at the 18 minute mark
20 pips at the 37 minute mark
ATM BO taken for 11pm Expire - Won

Total Profit = 10.00 + 20.00 + 50.00 = 80.00



2) GU

Signal @ 22:20

10 pips at the 20 minute mark
20 pips at the 20 minute mark
ATM BO taken for 11:00 exp - Won

Total Profit = 80.00


3) AU

Signal @ 20:45

10 pips at the 45 minute mark
20 pips at the 52 minute mark
BO ATM taken for 22:00 Exp - Won

Total Profit = 80.00


4) GJ

Signal @ 21:40

10 pips at the 5 minute mark
20 pips at the 7 minute mark
BO ATM taken for 22:00 Exp - Won

Total Profit = 80.00

Signal @ 22:20

10 pips at the 18 minute mark
20 pips at the 20 minute mark
BO ATM taken at the 23:00 Exp - Won

Total Profit = 80.00


5) USDCAD

Signal @ 22:19

-20 pips at the 108 minute mark
-20 pips at the 108 minute mark
BO ATM 23:00 Exp = Loss

Total Loss = 90.00


6) USDCHF

Signal @ 18:50

2 pip loss at the 120M mark
2 pip loss at the 120M mark
BO ATM 20:00 Exp = Loss

Total Loss = 54.00

Signal @ 22:30

10 pips at the 40 minute mark
+ 8 pips at the 120 minute mark (did not get 20 pips but still generated profit)
BO ATM 23:00 Exp = Won

Total Profit = 68.00


7) EJ

Signal @ 22:45

10 pips at the 33 minute mark
20 pips at the 62 minute mark
BO ATM 00:00 exp = WIN

Total profit = 80.00


8) UJ

Signal @ 20:55

10 pips at 47m mark
+ 10 pips profit at the 120M Mark (a profitable loss)
BO ATM 23:00 exp = Win

Total Profit = 70.00




TOTAL PROFIT FROM 20:00 TO 00:00 = $384.00

8 SIGNALS GENERATED PROFITS
3 SIGNALS GENERATED LOSSES



I was just looking at the charts before I was going to bed and had to share the results.

Thanks,

Nick

=========================================================================



Bull Spread TestingApril 20-24
10P - W10P - L10P-LProfit20P - W20P - L10P-LProfitBinary WBinary LBinary ProfitTotals
AU1400$140.00113-5$215.00

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Monday, April 11, 2016

Introducing Our New and Exclusive Profit and Draw Down Asirikuy Analysis Tool o ~ forex trading journal software

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If you have read my posts during the past few months you will notice that I have become increasingly interested in the analysis of trading portfolios and the effect of trading several different systems together. After I was able to implement a solution that made the balance of Asirikuy experts independent it became possible to trade systems without their balance calculation becoming dependant on the other systems trades, something which in turn opened the door towards the merging of backtesting results to accurately evaluate joint performance of the different trading systems. Up until now all this analysis had been made through the use of SQL scripts and VBA macros which were implemented by several Asirikuy members. Thanks to their effort we were able to do accurate calculations on the draw down and profit characteristics of portfolios. However it became evident that these solutions to portfolio analysis were not very comfortable needing backtesting statement manual reorganization in excel followed by loading into an SQL server and then loading onto a separate excel spreadsheet to run VBA macros. For this reason we decided to start a project with an Asirikuy member (named Gábor) who offered some of his free time to do all the coding of this new draw down/profit analysis program. On todays post I have the pleasure to introduce this little Asirikuy-exclusive utility, our own profit and draw down analysis tool :o).
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What is so great about this program, what does it do ? The program has many virtues that make it exceedingly good for backtesting statement analysis. The application allows us to load one or a series of backtesting statements joining them together automatically and calculating a series of very important characteristics which are not calculated on the metatrader backtester (not even the MT5 backtester). The program automatically calculates draw down periods, their length, their depth, yearly profits and monthly profits. Having all this information "a click away" is extremely important since it will allow us to do very fast Asirikuy portfolio analysis without having to through the cumbersome process needed to use SQL scripts for this purpose.
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The image above shows you one of the main characteristics of this software, displaying the equity curve for the loaded backtests (in this case three) plus the addition of their results to show you the "portfolio equity curve". This instant snapshot of the equity curve is important since it allows you to see which systems were losers and which ones winners through the testing period you are evaluating. This in turn allows you to gauge the contributions to the maximum draw down and the overall risk level of the different systems, letting you know which system causes the most loses or profits.
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The above picture shows you perhaps the most useful feature of the software, the ability to display draw down period lengths and depth of a given portfolio with great easyness. This allows you to know the average extent of draw down periods and how long you would have to be prepared to wait if you want to use a given trading strategy. It gives an overall realistic picture of a systems trading characteristics showing you why it is evidently hard to trade and what you should be looking forward to regarding eventual loses and losing periods. This draw down period analysis has become a very important part of system analysis within Asirikuy, letting us evaluate accurately worst-case scenarios and largest draw down period lengths.

Besides the features I have commented here, the software also has the ability to display monthly and yearly profits, important characteristics that are useful for determining the overall trading character of a given system. How profitable is the average month ? How many months are winners vs how many are losers ? What is the average yearly profit ? All these questions are answered by our new Asirikuy tool and its ability to dissect trading results into yearly and monthly statistics.

As time evolves we will be able to implement new features and correct bugs that may appear but currenlty this new profit and draw down analysis tool is a very nifty and welcome addition to Asirikuy. From later today, Asirikuy members will be able to download this piece of software from the Experts section of the website. If you would like to learn more about my journey in automated trading and how you too can start to design your own long term profitable systems based on sound trading tactics please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

forex trading journal software

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Sunday, March 20, 2016

Frank and the Binary Options Bucket Shop A Short Story on the industry ~ forex trading no minimum deposit

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ITS A SHAME BUT STORIES SIMILAR TO THE ONE BELOW HAPPEN ALL THE TIME...

The heat of the sun is beating down hard and sweat is dripping into the eyes of a construction worker. Every day, he toils. Every day he hates his job and is looking for better opportunities in life. One day, he does an online search and finds articles about binary options.

As he digs and researches, he is getting very excited about this fortune that he is getting ready to make. He sees advertisement where he can make sooo much money! The dollar signs are now replacing his eyes. He runs to tell his wife that he just found something... a secret that no one knows about. He tells her how he can make 70% profit on every single trade and not only that. He can deposit $500 and they will just give him another $500 and double his money right out of the gate!! How awesome is this! Even further, he can just follow their signals and make money every hour of every day!

So this construction worker goes to a local payday loan place and borrows $500. He knows the interest is high but with all of the profits he will make, he can pay off the loan in no time! Boy oh boy is he happy!

Driving home, he grins as he plays a mental picture of what his life will be like in 6 months. He has seen all the pictures of guys driving fancy cars. He has listened to story after story of untold riches... the easy money. He also dreams of laying in his hammock by the beach.

So it is 2 weeks later now. He has deposited his money in a binary options broker from some little island no one has every heard of. He accepted their generous offer of a 100% sign on bonus. He is getting ready to start trading.

Trade one... WINNER!!! Wow! He is so excited. He invested $100 and they payed him $70 for total of $170. This is totally mind blowing!

Trade two... WINNER!!! OMG! He took that $170 and invested all of it. Now he has $289. He can hardly believe it! What had he been waiting on all his life. 

Trade 3... WINNER!!! This is just insane! On trade number 3, he decided to up the game and invested $500. Now his payout is $850! He is just in heaven. He thinks, I can do this every day? Just sit here and make money?

At this point, he KNOWS he is a real trader so he decides to take the profits out and just start with the house money he just won. He calls up XYZ binary options broker and asks to withdraw his funds. The person on the phone politely informs him that he has not made the minimum number of trades and to check the fine print. No worries, this guy thinks. Im sure it is not a lot of money I have to make before I can withdraw my money. He decides to ready the fine print anyway...

What the #$%@!!!!!!?????? In the fine print, he is informed that since he took the bonus money, he is not eligible for a withdraw of any amount until he makes a total of $25,000 or a total of 1,000 trades.

His heart just sinks. He is determined though so he will see this through. "Ok Frank, All I have to do is trade like I have been doing and I will be up to $25,000 by the end of the month", he tells himself. He starts trading again and places a bet quite larger than normal.

LOSS

He places another trade and it looks like a winner...12 seconds left.....8 seconds....woo hoo! This is gonna be a winner.....2 seconds left..... A price spike occurs. LOSS. What the #$#??!?!?! So Frank checks other charts. On other platforms there was no price spike.

He calls up the broker and demands to know why the price spiked at the last possible moment. The broker informs him that forex does not have a central exchange and that price spike do often occur on one broker and not another. Before getting off the phone, the guy on the other end offers Frank a special top secret deal. All he has to do to learn the "Secret no one knows about" is invest $1000 into learning the system that will produce more profits than he could ever dream. The guy is super convincing and Frank is getting ready to invest more money. The one drawback is that Frank doesnt have any more money. He still owes the payday loan place.

Frustrated, Frank hangs up the phone. If he could somehow come up with the money to invest to learn this top secret system. He thinks and thinks. Boom! He has it. He goes to his mom and tells her how much money he is making and convinces her to let him borrow the money. He can never tell his wife this though because she is becoming suspicious of this binary broker.

After promptly getting back home and waiting for his wife to hop in the shower, he calls up his binary options business. The guy on the other end gladly accepts his money and gives him the best speech Frank had ever heard. Frank quickly checks his email to learn this super secret system he just paid $1,000 for and he is happy because the $1,000 is still going into his account. It can just work to get to that $25,000 goal.

Click click. The email opens. He reads this super complicated system that has no entry points. It is all talking about stuff he cant even understand such as economic releases and interest rates. Frank is so upset. He is starting to feel like he is being taken advantage of. What can he do? His money is tied up and the super secret system is too hard to understand.

6 months goes by. Frank has tried everything. Those first 3 winners were just plain luck. He has ups and down and he still has $300 in his account. He just wants out. He wants to take his money and run so he starts looking for someone to help him learn to trade. All he wants is to learn to trade. He has been bitten by the trading bug and his life is consumed by it. He loves trading but just sucks at it.

So he joins a popular face book group and learns that there are trainers in the group. He asks one of the trainers, " Can you teach me how to get my money out of the binary options business? I have an account but cant withdraw it."

The first words out of the trainers mouth are, " I am so sorry but what you are involved with has nothing to do with trading and your money is pretty much gone."

BLASPHEMY!!!!! Frank thinks and he goes to another trainer. He gets the same response. He tries a third trainer and gets the same response. 

Frank soon learns that all of the "brokers" are not brokers at all. They are private businesses that are scams and designed to take your money. Many of these scams dont even place real money when you are placing trades. What you are trading is just a demo account because you will never see that money again anyway.

Frank learns that being regulated through some obscure "authority" somewhere means absolutely nothing. This is not real regulation. Its all just one big lie.

Frank learns that the only way to trade binary options is through a regulated exchange. Thats it. There is no other way to keep your money safe. There is no other way to actually trade these.

The only places to trade binary options that are true and regulated are below

1. The Cantor Exchange

2. Nadex

3. IG

















forex trading no minimum deposit

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