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Showing posts with label 99. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 99. Show all posts

Thursday, April 28, 2016

Forex Expert Advisors Forex Lightning an Unbiased Review ~ forex trading log

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Ending this week of heavy revieweing of recently released expert advisors I present you the Forex Lightning trading system. A website visitor left me a message on the websites chat a few days ago asking me to review the system and therefore I am writting this post to honour his request. Within the next few paragraphs I will talk about the evidence provided on the experts website as well as whether or not this evidence is able to backup the claims of profitability made by the author. I will also analyze the trading evidence provided and give you my opinon about the trading systems potential for long term profitability and whether or not I consider it worth buying and testing. Is the forex lightning the answer ? Well see within the next few paragraphs.

The Forex Lightning website must be one of the most simple websites I have seen selling a trading system. The website merely has two pages, one for the system and one for support with the first one being just a little bit more than two screens long. The systems page also contains the evidence of profitability provided by the author as well as some testimonials (which we cannot know to be true). The claims made are very simple with the expert showing some profit figures on the top left showing more than 1000% profit for the past three years of trading.

The evidence of profitability provided is not conclusive. There are two statements which are said to be "live" but have absolutely no investor access confirmation. Why wouldnt the author provide investor access or load the statements into myfxbook for investor access confirmation ? In my mind it seems that these statements are more the product of demo testing than live testing, proof of this seem to be the account numbers which have the length of demo and not live accounts for FXCM (however if this is not true Ill be glad to correct it when investor access is provided). The fact that the initial balance for the accounts is large (100K) also points out that the accounts may more likely be demo than live accounts. There is also the possibility that the statements have been made up since there is simply no verification available.

The trading statements are also very limited with only 1 or 2 months of trading results and no live updating ability (that I could tell). The average risk to reward ratio seems to be favorable (about 1:2) but there are some things within the statement that I dont fully understand such as the placement of orders with double lot size somthing which doesnt seem to be a Martingale strategy but the result of some other money management tactic given the fact that the amount of money is not doubled after loses but two limit orders with different lot sizes seem to be placed everytime.

I have to say that there is no evidence at all to backup the figures of profitability for past years given and even more, there is no evidence to say that the EA has been trading on live accounts or that it can achieve those targets in the long term. There are no investor access confirmed live accounts or 10 year backtests so that a full long term profitability analysis with back/live testing consistency analysis can be carried out. For this overwhelming lack of any reliable evidence I have to consider this system NOT worth buying and testing. Once live-update investor-access confirmed live accounts are added and 6 months of results can be compared with a 6 month period backtest with a 10 year backtest also available I will redo this review. In the meantime I think that the forex lightning system has no evidence to be called profitable and running it would be a pure bet with no true idea about the systems potential for long term profitability.

If you would like to learn more about automated trading and how you too can learn to trade with sound trading tactics using automated trading systems please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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Wednesday, March 23, 2016

Forex Expert Advsors Zone 99 Forex an Unbiased Review ~ forex trading laws

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Continuing my review of recently released trading systems today I am going to talk to you about another system called Zone 99 Forex. Within the next few paragraphs I will guide you through the experts website, talking about the evidence presented by the author and whether or not it backs up his claims. I will also analyze any statements or information given and I will tell you my opinion about the reliability of the evidence and the soundness of the trading tactic used by the Zone 99 Forex EA. After all this I will be able to give you my honest and unbiased opinion about this trading systems profitability, particularly about whether or not I consider it worth buying and testing.

I think that the starting phrase of the Zone 99s website is one of the boldest I have ever heard. This expert advisor is not only supposed to be able to give you huge profits with low draw down but the profits are so high that you will be able to triple your account every three months. Does it sound too good to be true ? Looking further down the website we find even more amazing claims of profitability including the claim of making more than 10,000% profit in 25 months.

I would have to say however that this type of website is the most dangerous for new traders. The system seems to have a lot of evidence showing what it is capable off and there doesnt seem to be any reasons to believe that the claims are not reasonable. The truth however is that the evidence is being portrayed in such a way that it "sings the song" while there are a very large set of reasons why the system is not as good as it sound.

What is wrong then ? First of all, you have to take a long look at the "live" statements shown. These statements do NOT have investor access information, reason why they can be simply made up on an html editor to show us something that seems like a live statement which is simply not. These results could also be the result of demo trading and not live trading, making us believe that the profits were achieved in real life when in fact they were not. There is also the VERY important fact that ALL the accounts are only trading for a very small period of time and all of them avoid any periods where the SL was hit. On all of these accounts, trading is done with a VERY high risk of more than 15% of the account per trade reason why they are able to show these results. What we have here is merely a bunch of highly risky shor term statements which are not verified and could be easily demo accounts or even worse, just made up. These statements only show us a system with a very poor risk to reward ratio and a very unsound risk management.

The backtesting statement shown is also something you shouldnt believe. Backtesting is done with knowledge about the past and unless you get a live trading statement of the same period as a backtesting statement showing you live/back testing consistency, backtests cannot be trusted. There are many things that could be done to achieve extreme values of profitability in backtesting which could not be achievable in live trading reason why this verification is a MUST.

So what does the Zone 99 Forex EA show us ? What we have here is another overly hyped system with very limited - and probably demo or made up - statements showing us a system with an unfavorable risk to reward ratio trading at an extreme risk during a short period of time. If this people were actually serious about proving profitability they would provide a myfxbook link with investor-access verified to show us a REAL live account which is updated real-time and NOT some statements which may as well be manipulated or fake altogether. The backtesting statement also tells us nothing since its validity cannot be confirmed through live/back testing consistency results.

Finally, due to the fact that the evidence presented is simply unverified and unreliable and because of the simple fact that the authors do NOT show verified live updated live trading results (if those results were actually from live accounts why dont they continue to update them and provide investor access ?) I consider this EA NOT worth buying or testing. Additionally it is worth noting that anyone who tried to trade this system with the risk levels shown to achieve the profit targets mentioned would have a very high probability of wiping his or her account due to the unsound level of risk and the unfavorable risk to reward ratio of the system.

If you would like to learn more about what I have learned in the field of automated trading and how you too can learn to trade with realistic profit and risk targets in automated trading please consider buying my ebook on automated trading or joining Asirikuy to receive all ebook purchase benefits, weekly updates, check the live accounts I am running with several expert advisors and get in the road towards long term success in the forex market using automated trading systems. I hope you enjoyed the article !

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